SSC Bari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
PRO
0 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
41%
25%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
TRI
2 - 0
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SAM
2 - 1
BAR
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
BAR
0 - 2
ACM
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
54%
22%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
TOR
4 - 0
ROM
92%
6%
3%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
ROM
4 - 2
TRI
57%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |