SSC Bari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
LAZ
4 - 2
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
BAR
0 - 2
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
BAR
0 - 4
NAP
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
GEN
6 - 1
BAR
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 5
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
ROM
2 - 0
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 2
ROM
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
ROM
6 - 0
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
ROM
7 - 0
ACL
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |