SSC Bari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
TRI
2 - 4
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
INT
5 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOV
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
ROM
5 - 2
VNZ
62%
19%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
ATL
0 - 0
ROM
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
ROM
4 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 1
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
ROM
3 - 1
NOV
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |