SSC Bari vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 3
BAR
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAR
63%
24%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
BAR
39%
34%
28%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
BAR
0 - 0
EMP
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
PIS
4 - 1
PRG
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 1
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
CES
2 - 2
PRG
55%
28%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
PRG
3 - 1
TAR
54%
29%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
ARZ
51%
30%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |