SSC Bari vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 2
BAR
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
BAR
0 - 0
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 2
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
31%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
BAR
5 - 0
CAV
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
PRG
1 - 0
REG
62%
26%
13%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 0
SAM
58%
27%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
USF
0 - 0
PRG
33%
30%
38%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
PRG
1 - 0
PES
64%
25%
11%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
VAR
3 - 2
PRG
37%
30%
33%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |