SSC Bari vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BAR
5 - 0
DEL
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 7 | 68 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAG
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
CAG
1 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
FCS
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ELC
1 - 1
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAS
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
RTV
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
44%
26%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |