SSC Bari vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PIS
0 - 1
BAR
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
CTT
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 0
AVE
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 3
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 3
PAR
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
EMP
1 - 4
PAR
42%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 0
TRE
73%
19%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |