SSC Bari vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
CES
4 - 1
BAR
58%
27%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
46%
31%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
BAR
2 - 2
PIS
43%
32%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
ASS
0 - 0
BAR
63%
25%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAT
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATL
44%
32%
24%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
COM
1 - 2
PAR
64%
24%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAT
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
VER
1 - 0
PAR
66%
23%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
51%
32%
17%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |