SSC Bari vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
NOV
3 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
BAR
4 - 2
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
BAR
3 - 1
REG
47%
24%
28%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
COM
1 - 1
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
PAR
2 - 3
NOV
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |