SSC Bari vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 0
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TER
2 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
RPO
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
JUS
0 - 2
BAR
29%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 3
JUS
21%
26%
52%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BIS
0 - 1
PAG
34%
27%
38%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 1
PAL
12%
25%
63%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAG
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 1
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |