SSC Bari vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
JUV
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1949 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAL
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
GEN
2 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRO
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
TOR
4 - 0
NOV
89%
7%
4%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 2
ACM
23%
24%
54%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
PAL
3 - 0
NOV
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
SAM
1 - 3
NOV
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |