SSC Bari vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ASL
0 - 0
BAR
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
JUV
3 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
INT
1 - 2
NAP
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
MOD
2 - 1
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |