SSC Bari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
PIA
2 - 2
BAR
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
EMP
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ABN
1 - 4
BAR
45%
27%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
ANC
0 - 3
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 0
RIM
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 2
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 2
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 0
MOD
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAS
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |