SSC Bari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
BOL
2 - 2
BAR
52%
29%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 0
VIC
52%
28%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
CAG
2 - 2
BAR
44%
33%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 1
LAZ
51%
30%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
PES
0 - 0
BAR
55%
27%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
39%
32%
30%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
LAZ
38%
32%
30%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
MOD
46%
31%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRI
39%
33%
28%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |