SSC Bari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
20.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
28.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
22.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
TER
2 - 0
BAR
53%
29%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 1
FCC
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAR
56%
28%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
BAR
58%
27%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAG
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
MOD
0 - 3
COM
48%
31%
22%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
MOD
1 - 4
VAR
40%
30%
30%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
MOD
0 - 4
PIS
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
3 - 1
MOD
61%
26%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |