SSC Bari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAR
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
LEC
5 - 2
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 2
PAL
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
TAR
3 - 2
MOD
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |