SSC Bari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SIR
6 - 0
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
BAR
0 - 0
PIS
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SER
2 - 1
BAR
42%
23%
35%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
BAR
3 - 5
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
SIR
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 3
MOD
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
MOD
5 - 0
USC
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 3
MOD
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |