SSC Bari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ASL
0 - 0
BAR
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
JUV
3 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACL
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 1
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
35%
24%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
INT
4 - 2
MOD
75%
15%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
MOD
2 - 1
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 1
MOD
68%
18%
15%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |