SSC Bari vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.4%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
ROM
1 - 0
BAR
74%
17%
8%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1970 |
JUV
1 - 0
BAR
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
29%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAG
29%
31%
40%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
INT
1 - 0
BAR
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
ACM
1 - 1
BRE
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1970 |
VIC
1 - 0
ACM
28%
31%
41%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
CAG
1 - 1
ACM
43%
29%
28%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
ACM
4 - 2
FIO
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
TOR
0 - 1
ACM
41%
29%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |