SSC Bari vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
VIC
1 - 0
BAR
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
BAR
4 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
25%
22%
53%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ACM
3 - 2
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
LAZ
4 - 2
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 2
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
VNZ
1 - 3
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |