SSC Bari vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
NOV
2 - 0
BAR
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
BAR
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
23%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
BOL
4 - 3
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
BAR
2 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 2
INT
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ACM
1 - 2
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |