SSC Bari vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
BAR
0 - 0
TOR
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
BAR
0 - 2
LAZ
29%
22%
49%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
USA
0 - 2
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
BAR
0 - 0
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
INT
2 - 2
BAR
77%
13%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
ACM
2 - 1
ACL
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACM
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
JUV
2 - 0
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACM
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |