SSC Bari vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
TOR
6 - 1
BAR
83%
11%
6%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
BAR
0 - 1
JUV
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
BAR
2 - 1
PRO
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
USA
3 - 0
BAR
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRE
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
ACM
5 - 0
MOD
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
BRE
2 - 3
ACM
49%
21%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
ACM
3 - 1
NAP
40%
21%
38%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
BOL
3 - 0
ACM
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
ACM
2 - 3
INT
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |