SSC Bari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
ROC
80%
15%
5%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
BAR
10%
21%
69%
|
67 | 21 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASD
82%
14%
4%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
POR
0 - 3
BAR
10%
22%
68%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 0
NOC
81%
15%
4%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROT
82%
11%
6%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
MES
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROC
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |