Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 0-0
SSC Bari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
ACM
4 - 0
BAR
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BAR
2 - 0
USC
55%
26%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
NAP
3 - 0
BAR
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
UDI
2 - 2
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
ANC
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
ANC
2 - 2
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
TOR
3 - 0
MES
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |