SSC Bari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
21.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
SSS
0 - 2
BAR
43%
34%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
CAM
1 - 0
BAR
40%
35%
25%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAT
58%
27%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
BAR
34%
36%
30%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
VIC
1 - 0
MES
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
CAM
0 - 0
MES
36%
31%
33%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
LEC
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
PES
1 - 1
MES
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |