SSC Bari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
VNZ
0 - 0
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
BAR
3 - 1
LEC
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
BAR
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 1
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
32%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
POT
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
MES
2 - 0
LIV
38%
32%
31%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |