SSC Bari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
COM
2 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
BAR
3 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
VER
2 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
BAR
0 - 2
USA
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1956 |
ACM
2 - 0
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
MES
3 - 3
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |