Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-1
SSC Bari vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 0
VNZ
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 0
BAR
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
NAP
2 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
BAR
2 - 1
INT
20%
26%
55%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 2
VER
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 0
BAR
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
NAP
0 - 2
ASL
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |