SSC Bari vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
BAR
1 - 1
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 0
BAR
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
NOV
2 - 0
BAR
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 1
GEN
31%
22%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
INT
7 - 1
ASL
89%
7%
3%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
44%
24%
33%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 0
ASL
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 1
MOD
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |