SSC Bari vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
GEN
2 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
BAR
1 - 2
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAL
55%
27%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
PIS
5 - 2
BAR
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
BAR
2 - 2
USF
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
FCC
48%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |