SSC Bari vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
PAR
3 - 2
BAR
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
BAR
1 - 1
VNZ
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRO
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
VER
0 - 0
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
REG
2 - 0
BAR
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 0
BRE
31%
32%
37%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
PAL
3 - 0
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FCC
3 - 1
LIV
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
PAD
2 - 0
LIV
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |