SSC Bari vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1946 |
TOR
3 - 0
BAR
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 2
INT
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
BAR
2 - 2
NAP
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
JUV
6 - 1
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
ANC
1 - 2
BAR
29%
23%
49%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
ACM
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
JUV
5 - 1
LIV
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
INT
6 - 2
LIV
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
PES
1 - 2
LIV
27%
22%
51%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |