SSC Bari vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 0
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
27%
25%
49%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BAR
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 0
ATL
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
LIV
1 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LIV
64%
18%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
LIV
1 - 1
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
LIV
0 - 0
TOR
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |