SSC Bari vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
COS
0 - 2
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 1
NAP
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
4 - 1
UDI
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 0
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
LEC
3 - 1
VNZ
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MES
0 - 2
LEC
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
LEC
2 - 1
SAL
60%
21%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SAM
4 - 2
LEC
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 2
LEC
28%
26%
47%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |