SSC Bari vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
25.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASS
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
49%
30%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 0
PIS
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
SAM
4 - 0
BAR
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
RIM
2 - 0
BAR
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
AVE
2 - 1
LEC
41%
31%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 1
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 1
SSS
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 1
CES
45%
29%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |