SSC Bari vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
27.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
BAR
5 - 0
CAV
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 1
BAR
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
PES
2 - 0
BAR
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 1
USC
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
LAZ
2 - 2
PIS
64%
23%
12%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PES
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
REG
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
30%
28%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAV
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAZ
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |