SSC Bari vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ATL
2 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACL
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
BAR
0 - 2
ROM
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
LAZ
4 - 2
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
BAR
0 - 2
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
TRI
0 - 0
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
JUV
2 - 3
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
NAP
1 - 2
LAZ
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
VNZ
0 - 2
LAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |