Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 1-4
SSC Bari vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
ASC
1 - 2
BAR
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
BAR
2 - 2
JUV
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
INT
3 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
BAR
4 - 2
UDI
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
PAR
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
PRG
3 - 2
VER
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
VER
0 - 1
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
VER
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
VER
0 - 0
PAL
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
VER
3 - 0
PES
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |