SSC Bari vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 0
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
27%
25%
49%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BAR
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
LAZ
1 - 1
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
GEN
30%
23%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
GEN
3 - 3
TOR
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
VNZ
4 - 1
GEN
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |