SSC Bari vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
INT
5 - 3
BAR
75%
15%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 1
NAP
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ASL
0 - 0
BAR
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1939 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
GEN
6 - 1
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
ASS
1 - 2
GEN
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
GEN
3 - 0
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |