SSC Bari vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 2
BAR
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 2
BAR
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAL
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 2
BAR
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
PIA
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 2
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
FRO
2 - 0
GRO
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
CTT
0 - 0
FRO
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FRO
0 - 0
VIC
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
ABN
2 - 2
FRO
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |