SSC Bari vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 0
BAR
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
SPA
3 - 1
BAR
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
BAR
1 - 2
GEN
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
BAR
4 - 0
ATL
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
BOL
3 - 1
BAR
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
FIO
0 - 0
MOD
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
64%
19%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
CAT
2 - 0
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 3
INT
42%
26%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 3
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |