SSC Bari vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
ACM
5 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOL
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 2
VNZ
36%
25%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
ATL
4 - 0
BAR
60%
20%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
1 - 0
TOR
28%
24%
47%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 1
VNZ
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIO
51%
22%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 1
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
FIO
6 - 3
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |