SSC Bari vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
61.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
BOL
3 - 0
BAR
81%
11%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
BAR
2 - 2
ACM
29%
22%
49%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
TRI
2 - 0
BAR
50%
22%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
BAR
3 - 0
FIO
20%
21%
59%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
LEO
2 - 0
BAR
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
FIO
3 - 1
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
TOR
3 - 2
FIO
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
JUV
2 - 2
FIO
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
BAR
3 - 0
FIO
20%
21%
59%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
FIO
5 - 0
MOD
75%
14%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |