SSC Bari vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.8%
4.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 3
BAR
6%
20%
73%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
LOC
80%
15%
6%
|
67 | 26 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAR
9%
22%
70%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
TUR
84%
13%
3%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 3
BAR
10%
25%
65%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
2 - 1
ROT
75%
14%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CIT
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
CIT
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CIT
0 - 0
ASD
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 3
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |