SSC Bari vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ACM
0 - 0
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAG
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 1
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOL
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAT
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAT
1 - 1
LAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UDI
4 - 2
CAT
67%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |