SSC Bari vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
COS
0 - 1
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 1
TER
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 3
BAR
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 1
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ANC
3 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
28%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
CAT
0 - 0
CRO
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAT
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CAT
2 - 1
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LAQ
1 - 1
CAT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CAT
1 - 2
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |