SSC Bari vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
BAR
56%
29%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASC
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BAR
2 - 0
VER
42%
25%
32%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
FIO
2 - 2
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CAT
2 - 2
SPA
49%
31%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAT
43%
34%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 1
SAM
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 0
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |