SSC Bari vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
CAT
5 - 1
BAR
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
PAD
2 - 1
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAL
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
CAT
5 - 1
BAR
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
PRG
3 - 1
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAT
36%
30%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAV
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
CAT
2 - 1
GEN
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |